This offense will look to rebound in 2020 from a disappointing (8-8) finish last season. The offense just seemed to be lacking some juice and creativity which you can see in their 29th ranked points scored finish. It appeared Matt Nagy as a play schemer just wasn’t the same coach as he was in 2018. The staff needs to get back to being creative and maximize their players’ skill sets. For instance in 2018 the team was very good in designing throws for Trubisky, which worked out well for him and the offense as a whole. In 2020 we can look to the Bears scaling things back in terms of on offense to help both the quarterbacks out. The team brining in a new offensive coordinator and quarterback coach is a good step in the right direction, as both will be able to eventually expand the offense effectively. Another area we hope the team improves this season is on the offensive line, which PFF ranked 25th in 2019. That line looked really bad in 2019 and it really showed on tape. With not a lot of change this offseason in regards to the line it is easy to consider this a bottom ranked offensive line entering 2020 again.
Mitch Trubisky/ Nick Foles (QB) – a lot of the offensive troubles was laid at the feet of quarterback Mitch Trubisky as he didn’t look very good in 2019. This would lead to the team deciding to not pick up his fifth year option and also trading for former super bowl MVP Nick Foles. The thing with quarterback situation is Trubisky needs help. He needs a coaching staff that can help him succeed. Mitch is a very good runner, yet last season he wasn’t utilized in that fashion, which could have something to do with keeping the shoulder healthy after he injured it during the season. The coaching staff needs to have more designed runs for Mitch. Mitch’s biggest problem in terms of his game is his down field accuracy is bad. He needs to work on this area if he wants to keep his job. It’s easy to tell from Trubisky’s tape that he isn’t a natural thrower. He also doesn’t see things as quickly as needed to be an effective NFL quarterback. The team has said that the brining in of Foles was needed and we can expect a competition at the position. Now above we talked about the staff needing to design plays for Trubisky to mask his limitations, well that holds true for Foles as well. Foles is a player who like Trubisky as limitations and needs plays designed for him. Foles as a quarterback must play out of shotgun. This is where he is comfortable and where he historically has found great success.
Fantasy Spin: At this point in the offseason this job is wide open. With that said we have these guys pretty closely ranked with Mitch being our QB34 and Foles our QB31 in redraft. For Dynasty they rank as our 40th and 39th quarterbacks respectively.
David Montgomery/ Tarik Cohen (RB) – last year Montgomery flashed at times what made him good at Iowa State which was his excellent contact balance. Montgomery was never really that explosive player, but he did run hard, as he used his big frame to finish plays. When reviewing his tape from last year there were a number of times a game where his runs were finished before he even made it to the line, as the offensive line just collapsed. Montgomery is not a creator he is a back who needs to take what is given to him. Montgomery lacks in elusiveness and isn’t a quick twitch back, so if the line is penetrated quickly he will fold in the backfield. With that said we still anticipate him getting most of the carries in this backfield. Tarik Cohen will not be that guy who the team looks to run inside. He is not built for that type of punishment, as he is more of a change of pace pass catching specialist.
Fantasy Spin: Last season Montgomery was one of the most hyped players in fantasy and he severely underwhelmed crushing his owner’s hopes and dreams. Coming into fantasy drafts this season Montgomery is pretty affordable as ADP has him coming off the board as RB29 in the 4th-5th round range. We view this draft position a value on a player who is on a bad offense and doesn’t have that elite upside. However, Leonard Fournette is being taken in the second to third round and we view him to offer the same as Montgomery. We have Montgomery ranked as our 23rd running back in redraft making him a RB2. In dynasty he comes in as our RB20. Tarik Cohen comes in as our 30th running back in redraft and 35th running back in dynasty.
Allen Robinson/ Anthony Miller/Ted Ginn (WR) – Allen Robinson looked great last year and fully appears over his knee injury suffered a couple seasons ago. Robinson is the team’s alpha receiver, however he could use some help in 2020. The team went out and brought in Ted Ginn in free agency to play opposite Robinson. The thing is Ginn is not the answer for that speed deep threat receiver. Ginn is now 35 years old and there is no telling how much work he will be able to handle this season. The team will look to Anthony Miller, who flashed last season, to man the slot in 2020. Miller averaged a very healthy 12.6 yards a catch last year with a catch rate of 61.2%. These numbers stayed pretty much the same from his rookie season where he average 12.8 yards a catch, with a 61.1% catch rate. The team may get second year wide out Riley Ridley more involved in year two. This team lacks depth at the position and it’s problematic. With this lack of depth we found it a bit surprising they cut Taylor Gabriel this off season.
Fantasy Spin: Allen Robinson is a mid range WR1 entering 2020 in redraft as our 8th ranked wide receiver. In dynasty he comes in as our 10th wide receiver making him a back end WR1. Anthony Miller is being taken in the 11th round with an ADP of WR51. We have him as our WR53 in redraft making this a slight steal. In Dynasty he is our 50th ranked wide receiver. Miller still makes for a better dynasty add to us then redraft.
Jimmy Graham/ Cole Kmet (TE) – contrary to what many believe about Graham, when watching the film from last season he still moves pretty well. The thing with his poor production last year was the Packers simply didn’t use him enough. Graham comes into a situation where the offense his very tight end friendly, and him making an absurd 9 million dollars suggests he will be used heavily in this offense. Graham struggles as an attached tight end and he will not have to play that role in Chicago. Graham will be able to be dethatched from the line more, as they will use Cole Kmet as that attached tight end. Cole Kmet is not that dynamic pass catching specialist at the position, he is more suited for the tough run blocking aspect of the role.
Fantasy Spin: Jimmy Graham is the tight end to own in this offense for redraft purposes. He will be a backend TE2 with weekly upside. We like most in the industry were low on him for much of the offseason, but the more we watched the tape the clearer it became that he still has some juice. Cole Kmet is more of a dynasty stash as he ranks as our 28th tight end in that format.
Defense – This defense finished 2019 ranked 4th in points allowed in their first year under defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano. Most of the key pieces to this defense returns in 2020. Pagano knows that the heart of this defense is the pass rush. They boast one of the best in Khalil Mack who the offenses typically focus on in most games. The team went out and attained Robert Quinn who will be an upgrade, if healthy, over first round bust Leonard Floyd. Akiem Hicks figures to return and hopefully will remain healthy to help up front apply pressure and clog run lanes in 2020, something the unit missed a year ago. The team loses corner back Prince Amukamara who is now a Raider, and will look to replace his production with someone such as Steeler bust Artie or the rookie Jaylon Johnson. The team also resigned Danny Trevathan who is 30 years old and will need to prove he still has what it takes to live up to that money being paid. Also in the middle Roquan Smith will need to step it up, as he was touted as the future of that team’s middle, but last season disappeared.
Fantasy Spin: This defense will be one of the best defenses for fantasy this season again. The elite pass rush and the good points against ranks last year make them our 8th ranked defense in 2020. They are a set it and forget it type of defense. Granted there will be weeks that they crush you, but there will also be weeks where their production will carry you.
Strength of Schedule
The Bears wide receiver corps will face the 7th easiest schedule this fantasy regular season. Their playoff schedule will be the 8th easiest during weeks 14-16. The backs will be looking at the 8th easiest schedule during the fantasy regular season. The back will then have the 8th easiest schedule during the fantasy playoffs. Whichever QB will face the 14th easiest schedule during the fantasy regular season, and the 15th easiest during weeks 14-16. Graham and Kmet will face the 6th toughest fantasy regular season schedule and will face the 4th toughest playoff schedule from weeks 14-16.